Scottish Independence and Lancashire

I was reading about a politician in Dundee who moved from Labour to the SNP and handed over power in the city council. Independence is only a step away maybe.  Wonder if it could happen to the whole country and if it would have any implications for Lancashire.

Maybe Mr Blair and Mr Browns biggest legacy will be to make Labour so unpopular in the whole of the UK so that England goes Conservative and Scotland goes SNP leading to independence. Maybe, quite a few if’s.

If Scotland was independent. Scotland seems fairly close to Preston which has benefitted from being in the middle of a London Glasgow axis and the first major stop out of Scotland. What might change in the area?  Would the West Coast Main Line and M6 still have the same importance north of Manchester or would there be a bigger emphasis on its benefits and who pays for it.   I read that Scotland has very high government employment, more than northern England so would that move. Would subsidised work and military factories and bases remain in Scotland.  Could tax or currency benefits be gained in the north of England trading with a European partner who would probably want to go into the Euro for protection. I guess any Scottish government might also be thinking of reverse effects. 

Need to add that I think being British is a great thing. For such a small island to make such an impact on the world there must be something special.  I read in an overseas newspaper that to the British the country is less than it appears to the non-British. That never applied to me as I’ve embarassing recollections of exaggerated statements in foreign company. Probably England is synonymous with Britain and that is why the English don’t think that much about it until some feel poked by Mr Salmond.  So, back on topic, is Preston or the North West thinking about its position in such a scenario? Probably not, particularly if you’ve invested council money into an Icelandic bank. Then again it’s probably less than 50/50.

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Our garden v the RSPB

The RSPB listed the results of its Garden Survey 2009 today.  The results for Lancashire in Birds per Hour (bph) are; 

Starling 4.77 , House sparrow 3.50, Blackbird 2.77, Blue tit 2.25, Collared dove 1.60, Chaffinch 1.57, Long tailed tit 1.41, Goldfinch 1.30, Great tit 1.26, Robin 1.25.

Our garden bph would be: Great Tit 4, Blackbird 3, Chaffinch 2, Robin 2, Blue Tit 2, Coal Tit 2, Dunnock 2, Woodpigeon 2, Dove 2. With Thrushes, Long Tail Tits and Greenfinches occasionally, Goldfinches and Woodpeckers from time to time. Feral Pigeons sometimes arrive.  Magpies are always around but rarely land and so are crows, jackdaws and seagulls. We don’t have starlings although we see them flying over.

Strange bird the Woodpigeon we had two sitting in a tree nearly all day. A bird of great body size with a small head and very timid with humans.  Did they evolve to fill a pie.  One of those in the tree has disappeared but it’s mate still sits there. There was a lot of wooing so maybe it was wooed away.

Check the bph of your county:  http://www.rspb.org.uk/birdwatch/results/top10.asp

Extreme bph are chaffinches in north Scotland. The sky must be thick with them. Quite nice birds though, very placid, just sit there looking from side to side chewing a sunflower seed while other birds skip about.

After a bit of watching the pecking order and temperament come out. The robin, a bit of a show off trying to mimic the tricks of more versatile birds and bullying smaller birds but occasionally meeting its match unexpectedly with a Great Tit or Chaffinch.  Have a look yourself.

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PNE: Countdown

6 games to go, 3 at home. It will be a miracle if PNE get into the play-offs, they’ll need to win at least 4 games as they’re 5 points adrift assuming Cardiff make some use of their games in hand.  PNE play Cardiff at Deepdale so that’s a small help.

Whatever happens Alan Irvine has done a good job although a little bit better would have made quite a difference.   I’m sure Bristol C,  Swansea and Ipswich are saying the same. Will anyone above falter? You can only hope and do your best. Preston expects……….

Bristol C v PNE
PNE v Blackpool
Doncaster v PNE
PNE v Cardiff
Birmingham v PNE
PNE v QPR

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NHS, Royal Preston Hospital, high marks

I’ve been reading about poor care in hospitals, mainly the Stafford incident.  They always bring out the complainers.   Over a year ago I had two minor operations as a day patient at Preston in the plastic surgery ward. I want to say that I thought all the staff were excellent. From arriving to being treated I was well looked after; offered refreshments and given care and consideration. The treatment was well done and successful. 

I’d also say that my treatment in the Dermatology Dept at Clifton Hospital has been very good in this time and the facility is very good.

Preston hospital itself is showing it’s age though and there was a wait as everyone was called in at midday for the complete afternoons appointments. It’s the treatment that matters and I have confidence in the RPH.

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Building on the flood plain

More shops are announced for the Capital Centre in Walton Le Dale. Quite a good spot,  just over the boundary from Preston.  It is on the flood plain of the river though. I don’t recall when Walton was last flooded but if you believe the climate forecasts then maybe it will happen more often.  Flood plains are often the most fertile land so seems a shame that this area is being fully built over. Is there any coincidence that over hundreds of years very little has previously been built on the flood plain?

The Environment Agency has this area under watch so there’ll be a warning to get out of the shops although it’s likely to happen extremely rarely it seems to say.  Also there are flood defences although I don’t know to what level of flooding they are effective as they aren’t prominent.  Click here to view the flood map.

There are two main risks, one is from heavy rain flooding and the other is from rising sea levels making the tides higher. The river being tidal up to Walton.

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Visit to Blackpool and Green Party

Decided to look in at Blackpool today. The Green Party conference is there and we thought maybe we’d get some green ideas from some stalls. Their website wasn’t too encouraging as it said you needed a ticket but we thought there’d be some stalls around the entrance. You might have thought the Green Party would be hot on public transport but their website says rail services from London Kings Cross travel to Blackpool. When was the last time they got a train? Should it be Euston? A simple mistake but is it representative of their awareness?

We parked somewhere up north shore and walked into the centre. Mistake was to go along the front past North Pier as the road is fenced off almost up to Central Pier and we had to walk a long circular route to get back to the Winter Gardens.  Getting into the Winter Gardens, which also has extensive roadworks outside, we were disappointed to find there were no green stalls and it was all inside a ticketed area.  So we went into the new Houndshill and that is quite smart. It seems many shops have moved into there from other parts of the centre and so the area near the Winter Gardens now has a lot of discount shops except for Monsoon which stands out.  If you want a mobile phone there are a lot of mobile phone shops very close together in Blackpool though.

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Motorway accidents and traffic announcements

Travelling south on the M6 yesterday there was a plague of interrupting traffic news about roadworks on the B6576 in Oswaldton from Radio Lancashire.  Yet later heading back there was no news but I met a sign saying motorway closed ahead.  Apparently the M6 had been closed for over an hour and there were 3 accidents. So where was Radio Lancashire? 

Turning onto the A59 hit a queue into Preston so did a U turn and went back to Bamber Bridge just catching the Radio Lancashire announcement as I came off the motorway. Hard luck or rubbish service?

I could have gone via Penwortham initially if I’d known. Who let me on the motorway when it was closed?

It isn’t a rare occurance that there are accidents closing the M6 near Preston. Many seem to involve lorries and vans, very rarely 2 cars. Should lorries and vans be slowed down?  Is Lancaster an M6 accident hotspot, should there be a compulsory stopping point on the motorway.   Then there is that lane swapping approaching the M55 and blocking of the inside lane by tailgating lorries so you can’t get off the motorway.

Update: Motorway closed today north of Preston after an accident at lunchtime.

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Pizza makers in Leyland

Schwan the American Pizza maker in Leyland has sold out to the German Pizza maker Dr Oetker. Reading newspaper reports this gives Dr Oetker 43% of the UK frozen pizza market and this might be too much. Dr Oetker previously had 12% so it has made a step increase. It isn’t clear to me if 30% of frozen pizzas are made in Leyland, but if so it sounds like the dominant factory so you might think would be able to take on work rather than lose it. At this time the market is growing though so if there is any spare capacity it must be filling. However I know nothing about it and that is only a guess.

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Tithebarn v Talbot

Blackpool announced the go-ahead of its Talbot Gateway re-generation today costing almost £300m. A company called Muse (formerly Amec) are to build it starting next year. Unlike Prestons plan it has no flagship shop but  includes hotels, cinema, supermarket, bus station and railway station. Blackpool has just revamped the Houndshill Shopping Centre which is quite attractive and the promenade is having major work to extend it further out to sea.

http://www.musedevelopments.com/talbotgateway.html

The £700m Tithebarn plan includes 2 large stores, moving the bus station to behind the parish church. With a few other offices and improvements to existing buildings.

Look for yourself; http://www.prestontithebarn.com/vision.htm

I’m not commenting on the good and bad, needs more thought than I have time for.

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Fylde visit

Tuesday 10th March a springlike,  sunny day. Take a trip to Cleveleys – the new promenade looks good, people are sitting in the sun looking at the sea and there is clear visibility to the Lake District and the snow covered fells.  On the way home popped into Poulton and took a photo of the churchyard crocus display, they’re all purple with a few white ones. Funny how yellow crocus don’t flourish as much.

Photos of Cleveleys new prom looking towards the Lake District and of Poulton church, crocus display. Photos taken with a mobile phone, fairly cheap one.

Cleveleys promenade looking towards the Lake District, March 2009

Poulton church, St Chads, crocus display, March 2009

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PNE 7 days – 3 games – 1 point

Saturday 7th March – Crystal Palace 2 PNE 1.  Tuesday 10th March – PNE 1 Sheff Wed 1. Not exactly promotion form. Neither opponent had been doing well. Add in Notts Forest last week and the story isn’t too great. 1-0 up at Crystal Palace in the 29th minute then 2-1 down in the 34th. 1-0 down against Sheff Wed until the 92nd minute, then 1-1. Can’t comment much but the papers seem to think PNE were the poorer team in all the games.

This may read a bit negative when normally I’m positive but I don’t have the feeling that there are the players that other clubs want at Deepdale at the moment. That worry of poachers  is often a good guide to the quality of the squad. Then again a team of players just under that threshold playing well for each other under a good manager can do well. That is how I see PNE. Since Alan Irvine said they are safe from relegation they havn’t done too well but the whole division is inconsistent.

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Preston transport in the news

Cabbies fearing loss of business to late night buses. Cabbies able to pick up passengers at bus stops. Preston bus only weeks from being bust, Stagecoach saves jobs and pensions. Mayor says bus station underpass dangerous. It’s all happening on the buses according the the Lancashire Evening Post. www.lep.co.uk

Of these the bus station underpass is the easiest to comment on.  What about making a fenced footpath across the concourse controlled by lights and gates into St Johns. You could put a water splash at the bus entrances, like a moat to stop pedestrians. Imagine the headlines – bus passengers drowned, that would stop them.

The mayor is right though and it’s not only that it’s dangerous it’s inconvenient. Typical of planners to make pedestrians walk long distances to reach something not too far away. They never learn, have you seen all those wavy footpaths with the grass worn in straight lines on either side.

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Planning for planners in the North West Region

After my note below on Preston Vision I was reading about the vision and the North West Development Agency when another group came into focus.  They are 4NW. A cliche ridden name, can’t say I’d heard of it before. This is what they do:

‘4NW is the Regional Leaders Forum for the northwest of England. 4NW places public, private and third sector stakeholders at the heart of decisions that shape the future of the northwest, its people and places.’

Apparently this replaces the North West Regional Authority that was to have devolved powers prior to it being axed.  They have produced a Regional Spatial Strategy. An interesting  term, ‘spatial’; relating to space. 

Other stuff they have about the region. Like in 2007 the North West was the 7th in terms of value added per head out of 12 regions in the UK having overtaken the West Midlands in 2005 and even gaining a bit on the South East but still 30% worse, London being 30% wealthier than the South East. Interesting to see the 2009 London figures, gross value lost might become the norm.

Quite a bit to look at although a bit blue sky, nice looking website though. http://www.4nw.org.uk/

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Nottingham Forest 2 PNE 1

Tuesday 3rd March. Billy Davies strikes back, I’m a fan of his.   The Lancashire Evening Post gave the impression PNE could have won, they’re still well placed.

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Preston – Leader of the Council Blog

Scouring the internet I came upon the Preston council website and the blog of the Leader of the Council, Ken Hudson.  It looks fairly new and although it might be political to even mention the blog,  it isn’t too overtly political in content.  Most of the content is known policy.  A bit of amusement about moving bus stops adding £500k to Prestons bill.  As there is a wide river between Preston and South Ribble you’d think they’d know which area the stops were in. Then there is the cost. You could say this must cover at least 250,000 bus journeys, sounds quite a gaff. 

As with any blog you can comment on its content. Here is a link to Councillor Hudsons Blog.  http://www.preston.gov.uk/blogs/leaders-blog/

Talking about politics and a bit off topic, it’s a funny week when President Obama gave Gordon Brown a DVD box pack and in return we gave the President a hand carved pen-holder made from an old ship and a first edition book.  Sarah Brown offered a fine gift to Michelle Obama and she handed over a plastic helicopter.  That’s change and a lesson in frugality, let’s hope this lesson is taken up, most of the gifts are stored away and never seen again.

Although I support strong links with the US, whether every British PM needs to be so eager to prostrate themselves every time is another matter,  let’s have some dignity.

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Carphone Warehouse

Carphone Warehouse are in the news in Preston. They have a large call centre in Tulketh Mill and although I’m not too up to speed on the Academy they have been involved in  funding.  They also announced plans to create a hotel in part of Tulketh Mill.  Unfortunately as business throughout the world is declining they are having to cut their cloth to their budget and have announced some redundancies some of which might be in Preston.

I’ve worked in places with redundancy programmes and it’s always a difficult time.  Things seemed to take longer than expected and there was uncertainty about how many, what skills and who could go if they volunteered etc. In the meantime there is gossip, rumour and counter rumour and a sort of head down, I’d be really annoyed if it’s me and not him as well.  Best thing is to get familiar with what your options are, what jobs you could get and keep working as normal. You might find a better job although in a recession it might not be that easy.

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PNE 4th at end of February

PNE are sitting in a great position after 35 games. Todays game against Ipswich was a ‘six pointer’ and Ipswich were on a run so the 3-2 win kept them in the play-off position. Only Sheffield United can move them out by winning games in hand so it is largely in North Ends hands.

At the moment there is little consistency in the whole division so anyone in the top half could go up. You might think that a club who can only get 12,000 on a game that could keep them in the running in the division isn’t going to do much in the Premier League.  They are doing well enough in the Championship and the money in Premier League should allow strengthening.  I’d have little confidence of enough strengthening though. So savour the moment.

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House prices in Lancashire

Have house prices reached the bottom yet? 

There are a few sources of prices but the Land Registry is the only one that bases them on actual paid prices. The data from them is a bit slower than the Halifax and Nationwide which base their prices on valuers estimates of property which you’d think would differ from actual prices and might have some slant on them.

In January 2009 the Land Registry said average prices in Lancashire were £121,000. In December 2007 they peaked at £137,000. That’s nearly 12% down.  An overall average might hide that only cheaper houses are being sold, so really a comparison of say semi-detached would be more useful.

In August 2007 sales peaked at 2871. Since then they’ve come down to 697 in the last figures which are November 2008. A massive drop and one that must hurt estate agents, furniture removers and solicitors.

The national picture is worse than Lancashire with a decrease around 15% although the average price is £156,000.  So did Lancashire not reach as frothy a peak or is it lagging? In the Times it said the North West wouldn’t recover till around 2016, later than most places. Assume that meant recover to previous peaks.

The decline has continued in every month since the peak although a small shallowing of the curve has occurred lately.  Spring is coming and interest rates are very low. The government is encouraging banks to lend.  Banks only want to lend to low risk customers.  Job losses are being regularly announced.  Is this the bottom?  Would you take the plunge?  The froth has come off the top but it isn’t clear that it’s the bottom.

We’ve bought 2 houses and in both the value didn’t go up much for 5 years but then increased sharply before dropping off again. Like now.

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Female Referees

BBC Radio 4 went to Leyland (north of Preston I’m sure she said) in their ‘Today’ current affairs programme at 8am this week. The Lancashire FA are training female referees and this was national news. The FA are looking for more female referees and they might one day referee major matches. The taxi driver was interviewed on the journey back to the station and he didn’t seem to think it was a good idea. Something about ladies not going into mud he said. I don’t see why not, but I wasn’t impressed that it appeared on the radio that one of the ladies couldn’t blow the whistle very well. The pea had stuck maybe.

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Preston Vision

This week there’ve been a number of comments about the proposed Tithebarn project in Preston.  Preston Council says that developers will pay for a number of  improvements like the Guild Hall if it goes ahead and the North West Development Agency will contribute.  Otherwise the money will be lost.  On the other hand Blackpool and Blackburn Councils are objecting to the imbalance if Preston becomes too attractive a shopping destination at their expense.

So who is right?  Probably everybody. You could think should people in Lancashire need to go to Manchester for decent shops?  Does it matter if the whole area is second tier rather than having at least one decent place?  Will the Tithebarn project deliver this?

Some steps are being taken that give the impression positions are being made. I just looked on the NWDA website and found a job advert for board members to head up Preston Vision a company comprising Preston City Council, Lancashire County Council, The University of Central Lancashire (UCLAN), South Ribble Borough Council and the Northwest Regional Development Agency (NWDA).

I thought I’d record what this vision team is going to do according to their website, it is;

Preston’s Vision to become one of the top three cities in the North West includes key projects such as:
• Preston Tithebarn – the £700m redevelopment of the City Centre. A major mixed use scheme made up of around 1.5m sq ft of retail, leisure and residential development
• A 21st Century Central Business District
• Proposals to regenerate under utilised waterways and make better use of the river, canal and former docklands
• Green City Spaces – enhancement of city centre parks and spaces
• Improved accessibility of the City Centre

Like all visions it sounds aspirational. Let’s hope it is. I think I’m coming round to it and hope that something that stands the test of time, like the Harris Museum does, can be created and that it incorporates interesting heritage, not a clean slate.

The Harris Museum and Miller Arcades havn’t been remodelled.  St Georges / The Mall has, Crystal House has, the Bus Station and Guild Hall are scheduled for change. So two decent buildings have stood the test of time.  Several new buildings have looked poor very quickly.  Is there at least a bit of a lesson?

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